---
title: "Quantum model reduces hardware needed to break bitcoin keys by 17 times"
description: "CoinDesk reports that a new quantum model by Alice & Bob slashes the hardware required to break bitcoin keys by 17 times, bringing a potential attack closer…"
language: en
canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/en/events/bitcoin-new-quantum-model-slashes-hardware-96ec58ca3406d7"
published: 2026-10-29T13:56:57.000Z
updated: 2026-10-29T14:58:13.000Z
indexable: true
---

# Quantum model reduces hardware needed to break bitcoin keys by 17 times

CoinDesk reports that a new quantum model by Alice & Bob slashes the hardware required to break bitcoin keys by 17 times, bringing a potential attack closer…

Attributed sources: [CoinDesk](<https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/10/29/new-quantum-model-slashes-hardware-needed-to-break-bitcoin-keys-by-17-times>)

## Key facts

CoinDesk reports that a new quantum model by Alice & Bob slashes the hardware required to break bitcoin keys by 17 times, bringing a potential attack closer to reality and increasing pressure to adopt quantum-resistant security sooner.
Evidence strength: Single source, 1 publisher group(s) (CoinDesk).
After site detection, observed returns were 5 minutes: +0.16% (Oct 29, 2026, 13:56 → Oct 29, 2026, 14:01, UTC; Gate · USDT); 1 hour: +1.10% (Oct 29, 2026, 13:56 → Oct 29, 2026, 14:58, UTC; Gate · USDT)
In the preceding 30 days, the 99th percentile of absolute hourly returns was 1.23% (OKX · USDT; cutoff Oct 29, 2026, 13:56, UTC).

## Returns after site detection

| Window | Return | BTC | Difference from BTC | Actual sampled interval (UTC) | Source |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 minutes | +0.16% | +0.16% | 0.00 pp | Oct 29, 2026, 13:56 → Oct 29, 2026, 14:01 | Gate · USDT |
| 1 hour | +1.10% | +1.10% | 0.00 pp | Oct 29, 2026, 13:56 → Oct 29, 2026, 14:58 | Gate · USDT |

## Historical hourly baseline

| Metric | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Coverage | 100.0% (720/720) |
| Median absolute hourly return | 0.14% |
| 99th percentile of absolute hourly returns | 1.23% |
| BTC beta | 1.00 |
| Source / cutoff (UTC) | OKX · USDT / Oct 29, 2026, 13:56 |

## Claims and open questions

- CoinDesk reports that Alice & Bob's new model reduces the hardware needed for a potential attack on bitcoin keys by 17 times.
- According to CoinDesk, the model brings a potential attack closer to reality and increases pressure to adopt quantum-resistant security sooner.
- What specific assumptions or parameters does Alice & Bob's model use to calculate the 17-times hardware reduction, and what would confirm its accuracy?
- How many qubits or what hardware scale would be required to actually break bitcoin keys under this new model, and what would confirm that estimate?

## Source evidence

- [New quantum model slashes hardware needed to break bitcoin keys by 17 times](<https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2026/10/29/new-quantum-model-slashes-hardware-needed-to-break-bitcoin-keys-by-17-times>) — CoinDesk; published Oct 29, 2026, 13:55; received Oct 29, 2026, 13:56 (UTC).


## Recent BTC events and market reactions

- [Bank of Russia approves NAUFOR as first self-regulatory body for crypto exchanges](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/events/bitcoin-russia-approves-securities-group-oversee-87a7a164bdc4ca>) — Published Oct 29, 2026, 15:03 (UTC) · Single source (1 publisher) · General news · 5m +0.14% / 1h +0.70%
- [Swiss spot bitcoin ETF gains international access on SIX](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/events/bitcoin-why-switzerland-s-first-genuine-10ecd1266aca17>) — Published Oct 29, 2026, 14:15 (UTC) · Single source (1 publisher) · General news · 5m -0.06% / 1h +1.27%
- [HTX agrees to leave UK in settlement with FCA over crypto marketing](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/events/bitcoin-crypto-exchange-htx-agrees-leave-a77613a39ae9f4>) — Published Oct 29, 2026, 13:49 (UTC) · Single source (1 publisher) · Regulation · 5m +0.04% / 1h +1.00%
- [Bitcoin Magazine explains methods for calculating Bitcoin per share](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/events/bitcoin-understanding-various-bitcoin-per-share-455274ed4b9c9a>) — Published Oct 29, 2026, 13:36 (UTC) · Single source (1 publisher) · General news · 5m -0.06% / 1h +1.56%
- [Tether's USDT to launch on Bitcoin with privacy and Lightning payments](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/events/bitcoin-private-fast-usdt-coming-bitcoin-1a05fc6f9431d6>) — Published Oct 29, 2026, 13:30 (UTC) · Single source (1 publisher) · General news · 5m -0.05% / 1h +1.46%
- [Full coin archive](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/coins/bitcoin>)

## Research for this archive

- [Altcoin beta to Bitcoin: BTC, ETH, SOL and DOGE hourly returns](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/research/hourly-returns-and-bitcoin-beta.md>)
- [Will Bitcoin go back up? Every crash since 2011 and its recovery time](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/research/bitcoin-crash-recovery-time.md>)
- [Perpetual funding rates and annualized yield: a 2025 comparison](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/research/funding-rates-versus-investor-returns.md>)
- [Bitcoin halving and bull markets: evidence from four halvings](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/research/bitcoin-halving-and-market-cycles.md>)

Evidence levels describe source coverage, not the probability that a report is true. Price moves and their timing cannot establish a cause; minute samples show an observed interval and alert thresholds are heuristics. Explanations are model-assisted, with citations and figures checked. Source titles stay in their original language; full articles are not republished. [Methods and limitations](<https://whycoinmoves.com/en/methodology>)
