--- title: "2026-10-31にTHORChain (RUNE)はなぜ2.9%下落したのか？" language: ja canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/ja/coins/thorchain/2026-10-31" date: 2026-10-31 --- # 2026-10-31にTHORChain (RUNE)はなぜ2.9%下落したのか？ A THORChain-specific operational disruption is the clearest candidate: reports said an Ethereum reorganization caused a duplicate refund and an emergency pause. The fall may also have been amplified by long liquidations, but their timing does not establish that they started it. 2026-10-31 (UTC)、RUNEはGate · USDTで約$0.648から$0.63（-2.88%）へ推移し、高安レンジは$0.6215 – $0.73でした。 RUNEの値動きはまだビットコインと比較できません。下の数値は値動きを示すもので、原因ではありません。 過去29日間のうち8日でこれ以上の下落が観測されています。 下のタイムラインにRUNEの報道が2件あります：最大の1時間変動の前に1件、変動中または後に1件。タイミングだけでは変動原因を証明できません。 ## What may be driving the move A THORChain-specific operational disruption is the clearest candidate: reports said an Ethereum reorganization caused a duplicate refund and an emergency pause. The fall may also have been amplified by long liquidations, but their timing does not establish that they started it. - trigger · medium: Reports published Oct 31 at 11:02 UTC said an Ethereum reorganization led to a duplicate refund and THORChain pausing operations. A disruption could weaken confidence in the protocol or demand for RUNE. Evidence gap: The report times are not verified event-onset times, and the evidence does not show the pause’s direct effect on RUNE or connect it to the start of the fall. Sources: [S12](), [S11]() - amplifier · low: Gate recorded about $42,600 in long liquidations during the measured 24 hours, mostly in the hour beginning Oct 31 at 16:00 UTC. Forced long closures could have added selling pressure. Evidence gap: This is one venue’s data; it does not establish whether liquidations followed or intensified the fall. Open interest fell, but that alone does not identify direction or cause. Sources: [S3]() Open question: The reports do not establish when the pause began or how directly it affected RUNE demand; the liquidation data covers one venue and cannot show whether liquidations preceded or followed the fall. Analysis generated: 2026-11-01T01:08:16.000Z; evidence window: 2026-10-31T01:07:57.000Z → 2026-11-01T01:07:57.000Z. - Day open / close: $0.648 → $0.63 (24 hourly candles, Gate · USDT) - Day range: $0.6215 – $0.73 - 過去1ヶ月との比較: 過去29日間のうち8日でこれを上回る下落; 2026-11-01 00:00 UTCまでの24時間で-2.88%、通常の1日(2.0%)の1.4×。 - 30日間レンジ: 高値から-23.3%・安値から+8.7%; 同一取引所の時間足高値・安値基準 - 24時間出来高倍率: 3.0×; 直近30日間の日次平均比 2026-11-01 00:00 UTCまでの24時間のGate · USDT時間足データから算出。 ## 2026-10-31前後のRUNEタイムライン 最大の1時間確定変動：-5.88%、2026-10-31 16:00–17:00 (UTC)。 - 2026-10-30 09:52 UTC (最大の1時間変動の前): [RUNE rises after report of Binance record $6.3B hack]() (English) · Cointelegraph — Cointelegraph reported that THORChain's RUNE token jumped 13% after Binance's record $6.3B hack. - 2026-11-01 18:25 UTC (最大の1時間変動の後): [Analyst says North Korean hackers laundered $242 million via Tron as FBI presses THORChain]() (English) · The Block — An analyst cited by The Block said North Korean hackers laundered $242 million of Binance loot through Tron, and that crypto bridges Relay, THORChain, Chainflip and Symbiosis moved about $140 million of the stolen funds off Tron, with… Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move. ## 2026-10-31 同日の価格変動銘柄（UTC） - [Akedo (AKE) -21.50%]() - [Lisk (LSK) +19.22%]() - [Lighter (LIT) +13.80%]() - [Morpho (MORPHO) +13.74%]() - [Stacks (STX) +12.81%]() [THORChain (RUNE) price and news]() [Methods and limitations]()