--- title: "2026-11-01にTHORChain (RUNE)はなぜ12.4%下落したのか？" language: ja canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/ja/coins/thorchain/2026-11-01" date: 2026-11-01 --- # 2026-11-01にTHORChain (RUNE)はなぜ12.4%下落したのか？ THORChain’s swap pause after a reported reorganization bug may have weighed on RUNE. The move was coin-specific: Bitcoin rose while RUNE fell. RUNE fell from its 24-hour high to near its low, with only a small rebound. 2026-11-01 (UTC)、RUNEはGate · USDTで約$0.631から$0.5521（-12.37%）へ推移し、高安レンジは$0.5501 – $0.6485でした。 RUNEの値動きはまだビットコインと比較できません。下の数値は値動きを示すもので、原因ではありません。 これは過去29日間でRUNEの最大の24時間下落です。 下のタイムラインにRUNEの報道が2件あります：最大の1時間変動の前に0件、変動中または後に2件。タイミングだけでは変動原因を証明できません。 2020-12-17以降、Gate · USDTの日足終値でRUNEが1日に10%以上下落したのは57回です（7日以内の連続した変動は1回と数える）。 7日後に上昇していたのは57件中21件、中央値の変動は-2.67%。これは過去の記録で、予測ではありません。 ## What may be driving the move THORChain’s swap pause after a reported reorganization bug may have weighed on RUNE. The move was coin-specific: Bitcoin rose while RUNE fell. RUNE fell from its 24-hour high to near its low, with only a small rebound. - trigger · medium: Reports at Nov 1, 17:06 UTC and Nov 2, 01:51 UTC described THORChain pausing swaps across multiple networks after a reorganization bug. The disruption and scrutiny could have hurt confidence in RUNE, but the timing of the actual pause relative to the fall is unclear. Evidence gap: No verified onset time or direct evidence connects the pause to selling; the reports do not establish when the price fall began. Sources: [S11](), [S13](), [S16]() - amplifier · low: Long liquidations on Gate and falling open interest are consistent with leveraged positions being reduced, which may have amplified downward pressure. The largest liquidation hour was Nov 1, 11:00 UTC. Evidence gap: The reported liquidation total was modest and covers one venue; these data do not show whether liquidations followed or intensified the fall. Sources: [S1](), [S3]() Open question: The onset is unknown, so the reports do not establish when the pause began or how much it contributed to the fall. Analysis generated: 2026-11-02T02:02:11.000Z; evidence window: 2026-11-01T02:01:57.000Z → 2026-11-02T02:01:57.000Z. - Day open / close: $0.631 → $0.5521 (24 hourly candles, Gate · USDT) - Day range: $0.5501 – $0.6485 - 過去1ヶ月との比較: 過去29日間で最大の24時間下落; 2026-11-02 00:00 UTCまでの24時間で-12.37%、通常の1日(2.0%)の6.1×。 - 30日間レンジ: 高値から-32.8%・安値から+0.4%; 同一取引所の時間足高値・安値基準 - 24時間出来高倍率: 5.6×; 直近30日間の日次平均比 - 主な取引場所: Binance 26% · WhiteBIT 9% · BTCC 9% 2026-11-02 00:00 UTCまでの24時間のGate · USDT時間足データから算出。 ## 2026-11-01前後のRUNEタイムライン 最大の1時間確定変動：-4.01%、2026-11-01 00:00–01:00 (UTC)。 - 2026-11-01 18:25 UTC (最大の1時間変動の後): [Analyst says North Korean hackers laundered $242 million via Tron as FBI presses THORChain]() (English) · The Block — An analyst cited by The Block said North Korean hackers laundered $242 million of Binance loot through Tron, and that crypto bridges Relay, THORChain, Chainflip and Symbiosis moved about $140 million of the stolen funds off Tron, with… - 2026-11-02 01:51 UTC (最大の1時間変動の後): [THORChain pauses swaps across 10 networks after block reorg bug]() (English) · Cointelegraph — THORChain node operators paused swaps involving assets on 10 networks, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Tron, after a block reorg bug, Cointelegraph reported. ## 過去に何回あったか？ 2020-12-17以降、Gate · USDTの日足終値でRUNEが1日に10%以上下落したのは57回です（7日以内の連続した変動は1回と数える）。 7日後に上昇していたのは57件中21件、中央値の変動は-2.67%。これは過去の記録で、予測ではありません。 | After the move | Cases | Higher | Median change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 翌日 | 57 | 22 | -0.67% | | 7日後 | 57 | 21 | -2.67% | | 30日後 | 57 | 22 | -13.55% | Episodes: 2026-06-05, 2026-05-15, 2026-02-05, 2025-10-10, 2025-05-30, 2025-05-23, 2025-03-10, 2025-02-27, 2025-01-28, 2025-01-19 (UTC) 単一取引所の日足終値でコスト控除前、その銘柄自身の存続した履歴のみで、上場廃止銘柄は含みません。過去の事例は予測ではありません。 Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move. ## 2026-11-01 同日の価格変動銘柄（UTC） - [Infinity Ground (AIN) +23.51%]() - [Akedo (AKE) -20.25%]() - [Plasma (XPL) -12.48%]() - [トロン TRON (TRX) +3.29%]() [THORChain (RUNE) price and news]() [Methods and limitations]()