---
title: "雪崩协议 Avalanche (AVAX) 在 2026-10-29 为什么下跌 8.0%？"
language: zh
canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/avalanche-2/2026-10-29"
date: 2026-10-29
---

# 雪崩协议 Avalanche (AVAX) 在 2026-10-29 为什么下跌 8.0%？

Aave’s freeze of Avalanche lending markets after a reported large unauthorized outflow is a plausible source of concern during the fall, but the evidence does not establish its contribution. No market-positioning data clearly explains the move. 2026-10-29 (UTC)，AVAX 在 OKX · USDT 从约 $9.00 变动至 $8.28（-8.03%），日内高低区间为 $8.25 – $9.08。 AVAX 整体随大盘同步波动。 过去 29 天中有 1 天 AVAX 的跌幅超过本次。 前一天至后一天未收录到 AVAX 相关报道，原因未定。 自 2020-09-22 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，AVAX 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 100 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 42/100 次，中位变动 -1.62%。这是历史统计，不是预测。

## What may be driving the move

Aave’s freeze of Avalanche lending markets after a reported large unauthorized outflow is a plausible source of concern during the fall, but the evidence does not establish its contribution. No market-positioning data clearly explains the move.

- trigger · medium: A report published Oct 29, 15:09 UTC said Aave froze its Avalanche markets to prevent a suspected hacker from using stolen AVAX as collateral, after funds reportedly moved across chains. Concern about the incident could have weighed on AVAX.
  Evidence gap: The report does not establish when the freeze occurred or when traders learned of it; no link to actual AVAX selling or the fall’s onset is shown.
  Sources: [S12](<https://cryptobriefing.com/aave-freezes-avalanche-markets-binance-hacker/>)

- amplifier · low: Positive funding alongside a 2.97% increase in open interest and a slightly lower buyer-initiated volume share is consistent with derivatives-market activity that could have amplified selling.
  Evidence gap: These figures do not establish trader direction, liquidations, crowded positions, or that derivatives activity amplified the fall.
  Sources: [S5](<https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history?instId=AVAX-USDT-SWAP&limit=8>), [S7](<https://www.okx.com/api/v5/rubik/stat/contracts/open-interest-history?instId=AVAX-USDT-SWAP&period=1H&limit=26>), [S8](<https://www.okx.com/api/v5/rubik/stat/taker-volume-contract?instId=AVAX-USDT-SWAP&period=1H&limit=50>)

Open question: Did the reported outflow and lending-market freeze trigger selling, and when did that news reach traders?

Analysis generated: 2026-10-30T00:29:16.000Z; evidence window: 2026-10-29T00:28:57.000Z → 2026-10-30T00:28:57.000Z.

- Day open / close: $9.00 → $8.28 (24 hourly candles, OKX · USDT)
- Day range: $8.25 – $9.08
- 对比比特币 (BTC): -8.03% / BTC -4.11%; 截至 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时；标题为实时价格。 扣除比特币带动的部分后，自身涨跌约 -1.0 个百分点
- 对比近一个月: 过去 29 天中有 1 天跌幅更大; 截至 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时 -8.03%，为平常单日 (1.9%) 的 4.3×。
- 30 天价格区间: 距高点 -29.4% · 高于低点 +0.4%; 基于同一交易所小时线高低点
- 其余追踪币种: 26 个其他币种中有 23 个同样下跌 2.7% 以上; 2 个反向上涨了同样幅度
- 24h 成交额倍数: 0.8×; 对比前 30 天日均成交额
- 永续合约状态: 资金费率 接近零 · 持仓量 上升; OKX 永续合约 AVAX-USDT-SWAP

基于 OKX · USDT 截至 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时整点 K 线计算。

## 2026-10-29 前后 AVAX 时间线

最大单小时收盘波动：-5.54%，2026-10-29 20:00–21:00 (UTC)。


## 历史上发生过几次？

自 2020-09-22 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，AVAX 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 100 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 42/100 次，中位变动 -1.62%。这是历史统计，不是预测。

| After the move | Cases | Higher | Median change |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 次日 | 100 | 55 | +0.63% |
| 7 天后 | 100 | 42 | -1.62% |
| 30 天后 | 99 | 46 | -1.99% |

Episodes: 2026-10-08, 2026-09-23, 2026-06-02, 2026-02-05, 2026-01-29, 2025-12-05, 2025-10-30, 2025-10-07, 2025-09-25, 2025-08-25 (UTC)

单一交易所日收盘价，未计成本；仅为该币自身的存续历史，无法代表已退市币种。历史不代表未来。

Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move.

## 2026-10-29 同日异动币种（UTC）

- [Quack AI (Q) -29.02%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/quack-ai/2026-10-29>)
- [Pons (PONS) -21.29%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/pons/2026-10-29>)
- [Ethena (ENA) -16.29%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/ethena/2026-10-29>)
- [NEAR NEAR Protocol (NEAR) -14.24%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/near/2026-10-29>)
- [Raydium (RAY) -12.52%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/raydium/2026-10-29>)

[雪崩协议 Avalanche (AVAX) price and news](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/avalanche-2>)
[Methods and limitations](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/methodology>)
