--- title: "币安币 BNB (BNB) 在 2026-10-29 为什么下跌 8.1%？" language: zh canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/binancecoin/2026-10-29" date: 2026-10-29 --- # 币安币 BNB (BNB) 在 2026-10-29 为什么下跌 8.1%？ A reported multibillion-dollar Binance hack is the clearest plausible trigger for the fall. The move also included a sharp drop followed by a rebound, but the available evidence does not explain that second leg. 2026-10-29 (UTC)，BNB 在 OKX · USDT 从约 $759.87 变动至 $697.88（-8.13%），日内高低区间为 $678.13 – $760.96。 BNB 的波动显著偏离基于 BTC Beta 的预期估算；具体原因未定。 这是 BNB 在过去 29 天内最大的 24 小时跌幅。 下方时间线收录 1 条 BNB 报道：0 条发布于最大单小时波动之前，1 条发布于波动期间或之后。仅凭时间先后不能证明涨跌原因。 自 2018-06-16 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，BNB 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 76 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 46/76 次，中位变动 +2.01%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 ## What may be driving the move A reported multibillion-dollar Binance hack is the clearest plausible trigger for the fall. The move also included a sharp drop followed by a rebound, but the available evidence does not explain that second leg. - trigger · high: Reports of a Binance hack and losses across crypto markets could have weakened confidence in BNB and prompted selling. Reports appeared Oct 29, 14:58–23:24 UTC. Evidence gap: These are news reports, not independent verification of the hack or evidence tying specific selling to it; the move’s onset is unknown. Sources: [S11](), [S14](), [S15]() - amplifier · low: Perpetual-market conditions may have amplified the fall: open interest rose while settled funding shifted from positive to negative, consistent with changing positioning, though not proof of directional trades. Evidence gap: Open interest does not show position direction, and the funding observations do not establish liquidations or a causal link to the fall. Sources: [S5](), [S7]() Open question: When did the hack reports first reach traders, and how much of the move followed them? Analysis generated: 2026-10-30T02:29:18.000Z; evidence window: 2026-10-29T02:28:58.000Z → 2026-10-30T02:28:58.000Z. - Day open / close: $759.87 → $697.88 (24 hourly candles, OKX · USDT) - Day range: $678.13 – $760.96 - 对比比特币 (BTC): -8.13% / BTC -4.11%; 截至 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时；标题为实时价格。 扣除比特币带动的部分后，自身涨跌约 -4.0 个百分点 - 对比近一个月: 过去 29 天内最大 24h 跌幅; 截至 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时 -8.13%，为平常单日 (1.0%) 的 8.3×。 - 30 天价格区间: 距高点 -13.9% · 高于低点 +2.9%; 基于同一交易所小时线高低点 - 24h 成交额倍数: 5.2×; 对比前 30 天日均成交额 - 永续合约状态: 资金费率 为负 · 持仓量 上升; OKX 永续合约 BNB-USDT-SWAP 基于 OKX · USDT 截至 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时整点 K 线计算。 ## 2026-10-29 前后 BNB 时间线 最大单小时收盘波动：-6.36%，2026-10-29 20:00–21:00 (UTC)。 - 2026-10-29 23:24 UTC (最大单小时波动之后): [Binance suffers multibillion-dollar hack as BNB drops 8%]() (English) · Cointelegraph — Cointelegraph reported that Binance suffered a multibillion-dollar hack, sending BNB down 8% while Bitcoin, Ether and the wider crypto market also fell, with Bitcoin nearing $77K. ## 历史上发生过几次？ 自 2018-06-16 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，BNB 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 76 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 46/76 次，中位变动 +2.01%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 | After the move | Cases | Higher | Median change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 次日 | 76 | 44 | +1.09% | | 7 天后 | 76 | 46 | +2.01% | | 30 天后 | 76 | 45 | +3.31% | Episodes: 2026-01-31, 2025-11-03, 2025-10-10, 2025-09-25, 2025-03-03, 2025-02-04, 2024-12-09, 2024-07-04, 2024-06-10, 2024-04-13 (UTC) 单一交易所日收盘价，未计成本；仅为该币自身的存续历史，无法代表已退市币种。历史不代表未来。 Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move. ## 2026-10-29 同日异动币种（UTC） - [Quack AI (Q) -29.02%]() - [Pons (PONS) -21.29%]() - [Ethena (ENA) -16.29%]() - [NEAR NEAR Protocol (NEAR) -14.24%]() - [Raydium (RAY) -12.52%]() [币安币 BNB (BNB) price and news]() [Methods and limitations]()