--- title: "NEAR NEAR Protocol (NEAR) 在 2026-11-02 为什么下跌 9.8%？" language: zh canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/near/2026-11-02" date: 2026-11-02 --- # NEAR NEAR Protocol (NEAR) 在 2026-11-02 为什么下跌 9.8%？ A NEAR-specific decline beyond what Bitcoin’s move would predict is the clearest explanation; the whole market also fell. NEAR first spiked and then fell back. No verified event explains the coin-specific weakness. 2026-11-02 (UTC)，NEAR 在 OKX · USDT 从约 $4.29 变动至 $3.87（-9.84%），日内高低区间为 $3.85 – $4.35。 NEAR 的历史数据还不够，暂时无法判断这次波动有多少是跟随比特币；下方数据描述的是这次波动，不代表原因。 过去 29 天中有 3 天 NEAR 的跌幅超过本次。 前一天至后一天未收录到 NEAR 相关报道；下方分析参考了更早的证据。 自 2020-10-14 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，NEAR 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 118 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 52/117 次，中位变动 -1.41%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 ## What may be driving the move A NEAR-specific decline beyond what Bitcoin’s move would predict is the clearest explanation; the whole market also fell. NEAR first spiked and then fell back. No verified event explains the coin-specific weakness. - trigger · medium: Bitcoin and many tracked coins fell too, and a report about a security breach at Brazil’s Mercado Bitcoin exchange appeared at Nov 2, 16:46 UTC. This may have added to broad market pressure, but the market move accounts for only part of NEAR’s decline. Evidence gap: NEAR fell substantially more than Bitcoin’s beta-adjusted move, and only 9 of 27 tracked coins fell by at least a third as much. The report does not establish a market-wide reaction or its timing relative to the move’s onset. Sources: [S5](), [S18]() Open question: What started NEAR’s coin-specific selling, and whether liquidations amplified it, remain unknown. Analysis generated: 2026-11-03T02:00:08.000Z; evidence window: 2026-11-02T01:59:57.000Z → 2026-11-03T01:59:57.000Z. - Day open / close: $4.29 → $3.87 (24 hourly candles, OKX · USDT) - Day range: $3.85 – $4.35 - 对比近一个月: 过去 29 天中有 3 天跌幅更大; 截至 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时 -9.84%，为平常单日 (4.0%) 的 2.5×。 - 30 天价格区间: 距高点 -35.9% · 高于低点 +0.5%; 基于同一交易所小时线高低点 - 24h 成交额倍数: 0.9×; 对比前 30 天日均成交额 - 主要交易场所分布: Binance 18% · BTCC 8% · Gate 7% - 永续合约状态: 资金费率 为正 · 持仓量 上升; OKX 永续合约 NEAR-USDT-SWAP 基于 OKX · USDT 截至 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时整点 K 线计算。 ## 2026-11-02 前后 NEAR 时间线 最大单小时收盘波动：-3.06%，2026-11-02 06:00–07:00 (UTC)。 ## 历史上发生过几次？ 自 2020-10-14 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，NEAR 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 118 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 52/117 次，中位变动 -1.41%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 | After the move | Cases | Higher | Median change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 次日 | 118 | 43 | -1.26% | | 7 天后 | 117 | 52 | -1.41% | | 30 天后 | 115 | 49 | -6.95% | Episodes: 2026-10-29, 2026-10-22, 2026-10-08, 2026-09-28, 2026-07-27, 2026-06-04, 2026-05-26, 2026-02-05, 2026-01-29, 2025-12-01 (UTC) 单一交易所日收盘价，未计成本；仅为该币自身的存续历史，无法代表已退市币种。历史不代表未来。 Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move. ## 2026-11-02 同日异动币种（UTC） - [Akedo (AKE) -40.85%]() - [Aria.AI (ARIA) +38.56%]() - [Holo (HOT) +17.94%]() - [Rain (RAIN) +11.59%]() - [Lisk (LSK) -11.36%]() [NEAR NEAR Protocol (NEAR) price and news]() [Methods and limitations]()