---
title: "Raydium (RAY) 在 2026-10-29 为什么下跌 12.5%？"
language: zh
canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/raydium/2026-10-29"
date: 2026-10-29
---

# Raydium (RAY) 在 2026-10-29 为什么下跌 12.5%？

No confirmed event explains the fall. Perpetual-market data offers a possible, but uncertain, amplification mechanism. 2026-10-29 (UTC)，RAY 在 OKX · USDT 从约 $1.81 变动至 $1.59（-12.52%），日内高低区间为 $1.56 – $1.82。 RAY 整体随大盘同步波动。 这是 RAY 在过去 29 天内最大的 24 小时跌幅。 前一天至后一天未收录到 RAY 相关报道，原因未定。 自 2021-02-23 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，RAY 单日下跌 10% 或以上共 56 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 23/56 次，中位变动 -2.67%。这是历史统计，不是预测。

## What may be driving the move

No confirmed event explains the fall. Perpetual-market data offers a possible, but uncertain, amplification mechanism.

- amplifier · low: Negative RAY perpetual funding at 08:00 UTC and again at Oct 30, 00:10 UTC is consistent with traders paying to hold short positions; this could have added downward pressure.
  Evidence gap: Funding does not establish net short positions or causation. Coin-denominated open interest rose, but its direction is unknown, while buyer-initiated volume share was slightly higher than in the previous 24 hours.
  Sources: [S5](<https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate-history?instId=RAY-USDT-SWAP&limit=8>), [S6](<https://www.okx.com/api/v5/public/funding-rate?instId=RAY-USDT-SWAP>)

Open question: Did bearish derivatives positioning amplify selling, or did it follow the fall? The available data does not establish what initiated the move.

Analysis generated: 2026-10-30T00:11:09.000Z; evidence window: 2026-10-29T00:10:57.000Z → 2026-10-30T00:10:57.000Z.

- Day open / close: $1.81 → $1.59 (24 hourly candles, OKX · USDT)
- Day range: $1.56 – $1.82
- 对比近一个月: 过去 29 天内最大 24h 跌幅; 截至 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时 -12.52%，为平常单日 (2.9%) 的 4.3×。
- 30 天价格区间: 距高点 -38.4% · 高于低点 +1.5%; 基于同一交易所小时线高低点
- 24h 成交额倍数: 0.8×; 对比前 30 天日均成交额
- 主要交易场所分布: Binance 15% · Raydium (CLMM) 12% · BTCC 7%; 含链上流动性池
- 永续合约状态: 资金费率 显著为负 · 持仓量 上升; OKX 永续合约 RAY-USDT-SWAP

基于 OKX · USDT 截至 2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时整点 K 线计算。

## 2026-10-29 前后 RAY 时间线

最大单小时收盘波动：-4.95%，2026-10-29 06:00–07:00 (UTC)。


## 历史上发生过几次？

自 2021-02-23 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，RAY 单日下跌 10% 或以上共 56 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 23/56 次，中位变动 -2.67%。这是历史统计，不是预测。

| After the move | Cases | Higher | Median change |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 次日 | 56 | 26 | -0.77% |
| 7 天后 | 56 | 23 | -2.67% |
| 30 天后 | 55 | 17 | -17.70% |

Episodes: 2026-10-12, 2026-09-28, 2026-09-13, 2026-01-31, 2025-11-03, 2025-10-10, 2025-05-30, 2025-04-06, 2025-03-20, 2025-03-03 (UTC)

单一交易所日收盘价，未计成本；仅为该币自身的存续历史，无法代表已退市币种。历史不代表未来。

Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move.

## 2026-10-29 同日异动币种（UTC）

- [Quack AI (Q) -29.02%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/quack-ai/2026-10-29>)
- [Pons (PONS) -21.29%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/pons/2026-10-29>)
- [Ethena (ENA) -16.29%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/ethena/2026-10-29>)
- [NEAR NEAR Protocol (NEAR) -14.24%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/near/2026-10-29>)
- [胖企鹅 Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) -10.94%](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/pudgy-penguins/2026-10-29>)

[Raydium (RAY) price and news](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/raydium>)
[Methods and limitations](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/methodology>)