--- title: "THORChain (RUNE) 在 2026-10-31 为什么下跌 2.9%？" language: zh canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/thorchain/2026-10-31" date: 2026-10-31 --- # THORChain (RUNE) 在 2026-10-31 为什么下跌 2.9%？ A THORChain-specific operational disruption is the clearest candidate: reports said an Ethereum reorganization caused a duplicate refund and an emergency pause. The fall may also have been amplified by long liquidations, but their timing does not establish that they started it. 2026-10-31 (UTC)，RUNE 在 Gate · USDT 从约 $0.648 变动至 $0.63（-2.88%），日内高低区间为 $0.6215 – $0.73。 RUNE 的历史数据还不够，暂时无法判断这次波动有多少是跟随比特币；下方数据描述的是这次波动，不代表原因。 过去 29 天中有 8 天 RUNE 的跌幅超过本次。 下方时间线收录 2 条 RUNE 报道：1 条发布于最大单小时波动之前，1 条发布于波动期间或之后。仅凭时间先后不能证明涨跌原因。 ## What may be driving the move A THORChain-specific operational disruption is the clearest candidate: reports said an Ethereum reorganization caused a duplicate refund and an emergency pause. The fall may also have been amplified by long liquidations, but their timing does not establish that they started it. - trigger · medium: Reports published Oct 31 at 11:02 UTC said an Ethereum reorganization led to a duplicate refund and THORChain pausing operations. A disruption could weaken confidence in the protocol or demand for RUNE. Evidence gap: The report times are not verified event-onset times, and the evidence does not show the pause’s direct effect on RUNE or connect it to the start of the fall. Sources: [S12](), [S11]() - amplifier · low: Gate recorded about $42,600 in long liquidations during the measured 24 hours, mostly in the hour beginning Oct 31 at 16:00 UTC. Forced long closures could have added selling pressure. Evidence gap: This is one venue’s data; it does not establish whether liquidations followed or intensified the fall. Open interest fell, but that alone does not identify direction or cause. Sources: [S3]() Open question: The reports do not establish when the pause began or how directly it affected RUNE demand; the liquidation data covers one venue and cannot show whether liquidations preceded or followed the fall. Analysis generated: 2026-11-01T01:08:16.000Z; evidence window: 2026-10-31T01:07:57.000Z → 2026-11-01T01:07:57.000Z. - Day open / close: $0.648 → $0.63 (24 hourly candles, Gate · USDT) - Day range: $0.6215 – $0.73 - 对比近一个月: 过去 29 天中有 8 天跌幅更大; 截至 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时 -2.88%，为平常单日 (2.0%) 的 1.4×。 - 30 天价格区间: 距高点 -23.3% · 高于低点 +8.7%; 基于同一交易所小时线高低点 - 24h 成交额倍数: 3.0×; 对比前 30 天日均成交额 基于 Gate · USDT 截至 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时整点 K 线计算。 ## 2026-10-31 前后 RUNE 时间线 最大单小时收盘波动：-5.88%，2026-10-31 16:00–17:00 (UTC)。 - 2026-10-30 09:52 UTC (最大单小时波动之前): [RUNE rises after report of Binance record $6.3B hack]() (English) · Cointelegraph — Cointelegraph reported that THORChain's RUNE token jumped 13% after Binance's record $6.3B hack. - 2026-11-01 18:25 UTC (最大单小时波动之后): [Analyst says North Korean hackers laundered $242 million via Tron as FBI presses THORChain]() (English) · The Block — An analyst cited by The Block said North Korean hackers laundered $242 million of Binance loot through Tron, and that crypto bridges Relay, THORChain, Chainflip and Symbiosis moved about $140 million of the stolen funds off Tron, with… Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move. ## 2026-10-31 同日异动币种（UTC） - [Akedo (AKE) -21.50%]() - [Lisk (LSK) +19.22%]() - [Lighter (LIT) +13.80%]() - [Morpho (MORPHO) +13.74%]() - [Stacks (STX) +12.81%]() [THORChain (RUNE) price and news]() [Methods and limitations]()