--- title: "THORChain (RUNE) 在 2026-11-01 为什么下跌 12.4%？" language: zh canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/thorchain/2026-11-01" date: 2026-11-01 --- # THORChain (RUNE) 在 2026-11-01 为什么下跌 12.4%？ THORChain’s swap pause after a reported reorganization bug may have weighed on RUNE. The move was coin-specific: Bitcoin rose while RUNE fell. RUNE fell from its 24-hour high to near its low, with only a small rebound. 2026-11-01 (UTC)，RUNE 在 Gate · USDT 从约 $0.631 变动至 $0.5521（-12.37%），日内高低区间为 $0.5501 – $0.6485。 RUNE 的历史数据还不够，暂时无法判断这次波动有多少是跟随比特币；下方数据描述的是这次波动，不代表原因。 这是 RUNE 在过去 29 天内最大的 24 小时跌幅。 下方时间线收录 2 条 RUNE 报道：0 条发布于最大单小时波动之前，2 条发布于波动期间或之后。仅凭时间先后不能证明涨跌原因。 自 2020-12-17 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，RUNE 单日下跌 10% 或以上共 57 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 21/57 次，中位变动 -2.67%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 ## What may be driving the move THORChain’s swap pause after a reported reorganization bug may have weighed on RUNE. The move was coin-specific: Bitcoin rose while RUNE fell. RUNE fell from its 24-hour high to near its low, with only a small rebound. - trigger · medium: Reports at Nov 1, 17:06 UTC and Nov 2, 01:51 UTC described THORChain pausing swaps across multiple networks after a reorganization bug. The disruption and scrutiny could have hurt confidence in RUNE, but the timing of the actual pause relative to the fall is unclear. Evidence gap: No verified onset time or direct evidence connects the pause to selling; the reports do not establish when the price fall began. Sources: [S11](), [S13](), [S16]() - amplifier · low: Long liquidations on Gate and falling open interest are consistent with leveraged positions being reduced, which may have amplified downward pressure. The largest liquidation hour was Nov 1, 11:00 UTC. Evidence gap: The reported liquidation total was modest and covers one venue; these data do not show whether liquidations followed or intensified the fall. Sources: [S1](), [S3]() Open question: The onset is unknown, so the reports do not establish when the pause began or how much it contributed to the fall. Analysis generated: 2026-11-02T02:02:11.000Z; evidence window: 2026-11-01T02:01:57.000Z → 2026-11-02T02:01:57.000Z. - Day open / close: $0.631 → $0.5521 (24 hourly candles, Gate · USDT) - Day range: $0.5501 – $0.6485 - 对比近一个月: 过去 29 天内最大 24h 跌幅; 截至 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时 -12.37%，为平常单日 (2.0%) 的 6.1×。 - 30 天价格区间: 距高点 -32.8% · 高于低点 +0.4%; 基于同一交易所小时线高低点 - 24h 成交额倍数: 5.6×; 对比前 30 天日均成交额 - 主要交易场所分布: Binance 26% · WhiteBIT 9% · BTCC 9% 基于 Gate · USDT 截至 2026-11-02 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时整点 K 线计算。 ## 2026-11-01 前后 RUNE 时间线 最大单小时收盘波动：-4.01%，2026-11-01 00:00–01:00 (UTC)。 - 2026-11-01 18:25 UTC (最大单小时波动之后): [Analyst says North Korean hackers laundered $242 million via Tron as FBI presses THORChain]() (English) · The Block — An analyst cited by The Block said North Korean hackers laundered $242 million of Binance loot through Tron, and that crypto bridges Relay, THORChain, Chainflip and Symbiosis moved about $140 million of the stolen funds off Tron, with… - 2026-11-02 01:51 UTC (最大单小时波动之后): [THORChain pauses swaps across 10 networks after block reorg bug]() (English) · Cointelegraph — THORChain node operators paused swaps involving assets on 10 networks, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and Tron, after a block reorg bug, Cointelegraph reported. ## 历史上发生过几次？ 自 2020-12-17 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，RUNE 单日下跌 10% 或以上共 57 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 21/57 次，中位变动 -2.67%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 | After the move | Cases | Higher | Median change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 次日 | 57 | 22 | -0.67% | | 7 天后 | 57 | 21 | -2.67% | | 30 天后 | 57 | 22 | -13.55% | Episodes: 2026-06-05, 2026-05-15, 2026-02-05, 2025-10-10, 2025-05-30, 2025-05-23, 2025-03-10, 2025-02-27, 2025-01-28, 2025-01-19 (UTC) 单一交易所日收盘价，未计成本；仅为该币自身的存续历史，无法代表已退市币种。历史不代表未来。 Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move. ## 2026-11-01 同日异动币种（UTC） - [Infinity Ground (AIN) +23.51%]() - [Akedo (AKE) -20.25%]() - [Plasma (XPL) -12.48%]() - [波场 TRON (TRX) +3.29%]() [THORChain (RUNE) price and news]() [Methods and limitations]()