--- title: "波场 TRON (TRX) 在 2026-10-31 为什么下跌 9.8%？" language: zh canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/tron/2026-10-31" date: 2026-10-31 --- # 波场 TRON (TRX) 在 2026-10-31 为什么下跌 9.8%？ Reports linking the Binance hack to TRON provide the clearest possible trigger for this fall. The price also spiked and then fell back, but the evidence does not establish when the decline began or what caused each leg. 2026-10-31 (UTC)，TRX 在 OKX · USDT 从约 $0.33626 变动至 $0.30324（-9.80%），日内高低区间为 $0.30006 – $0.343。 TRX 的历史数据还不够，暂时无法判断这次波动有多少是跟随比特币；下方数据描述的是这次波动，不代表原因。 这是 TRX 在过去 29 天内最大的 24 小时跌幅。 前一天至后一天未收录到 TRX 相关报道；下方分析参考了更早的证据。 自 2017-11-17 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，TRX 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 90 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 43/89 次，中位变动 -0.09%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 ## What may be driving the move Reports linking the Binance hack to TRON provide the clearest possible trigger for this fall. The price also spiked and then fell back, but the evidence does not establish when the decline began or what caused each leg. - trigger · medium: Reports on Oct 31, 12:46 UTC and Oct 31, 18:34 UTC linked the hack to TRON and described a price drop, consistent with concern weighing on TRX. Earlier hack-related reports may provide context, but do not establish a delayed effect. Evidence gap: The reports do not independently verify the claims or show that they caused selling; the move's onset is unknown. Sources: [S11](), [S14]() - amplifier · low: Negative perpetual-swap funding and rising open interest indicate derivatives positioning that could have amplified price pressure, though they do not reveal traders' net direction or establish liquidation feedback. Evidence gap: The evidence does not show liquidations or executions, and open interest in coin units does not establish net inflows or direction. Sources: [S5](), [S6](), [S7](), [S8]() Open question: Did concern about the hack prompt selling during the measured period, and did it account for the full decline? Analysis generated: 2026-11-01T03:22:08.000Z; evidence window: 2026-10-31T03:21:57.000Z → 2026-11-01T03:21:57.000Z. - Day open / close: $0.33626 → $0.30324 (24 hourly candles, OKX · USDT) - Day range: $0.30006 – $0.343 - 对比近一个月: 过去 29 天内最大 24h 跌幅; 截至 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时 -9.80%，为平常单日 (0.4%) 的 26.4×。 - 30 天价格区间: 距高点 -19.3% · 高于低点 +1.1%; 基于同一交易所小时线高低点 - 24h 成交额倍数: 9.1×; 对比前 30 天日均成交额 - 永续合约状态: 资金费率 显著为负 · 持仓量 上升; OKX 永续合约 TRX-USDT-SWAP 基于 OKX · USDT 截至 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时整点 K 线计算。 ## 2026-10-31 前后 TRX 时间线 最大单小时收盘波动：-1.05%，2026-10-31 17:00–18:00 (UTC)。 ## 历史上发生过几次？ 自 2017-11-17 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，TRX 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 90 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 43/89 次，中位变动 -0.09%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 | After the move | Cases | Higher | Median change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 次日 | 90 | 51 | +1.29% | | 7 天后 | 89 | 43 | -0.09% | | 30 天后 | 89 | 43 | -3.60% | Episodes: 2026-10-30, 2025-02-02, 2024-12-18, 2024-12-04, 2024-03-19, 2023-06-09, 2023-03-22, 2023-03-09, 2022-11-09, 2022-06-13 (UTC) 单一交易所日收盘价，未计成本；仅为该币自身的存续历史，无法代表已退市币种。历史不代表未来。 Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move. ## 2026-10-31 同日异动币种（UTC） - [Akedo (AKE) -21.50%]() - [Lisk (LSK) +19.22%]() - [Lighter (LIT) +13.80%]() - [Morpho (MORPHO) +13.74%]() - [Stacks (STX) +12.81%]() [波场 TRON (TRX) price and news]() [Methods and limitations]()