--- title: "大零币 Zcash (ZEC) 在 2026-11-02 为什么下跌 8.0%？" language: zh canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/zcash/2026-11-02" date: 2026-11-02 --- # 大零币 Zcash (ZEC) 在 2026-11-02 为什么下跌 8.0%？ The broader market’s fall may have contributed, with a reported exchange breach as a possible market-wide trigger. ZEC’s decline was substantially larger than the beta-adjusted Bitcoin move; it first spiked, then fell back sharply. 2026-11-02 (UTC)，ZEC 在 OKX · USDT 从约 $1,235.00 变动至 $1,135.78（-7.99%），日内高低区间为 $1,127.68 – $1,284.57。 ZEC 整体随大盘同步波动。 过去 29 天中有 2 天 ZEC 的跌幅超过本次。 前一天至后一天未收录到 ZEC 相关报道；下方分析参考了更早的证据。 自 2017-10-12 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，ZEC 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 166 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 78/166 次，中位变动 -1.42%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 ## What may be driving the move The broader market’s fall may have contributed, with a reported exchange breach as a possible market-wide trigger. ZEC’s decline was substantially larger than the beta-adjusted Bitcoin move; it first spiked, then fell back sharply. - trigger · medium: Bitcoin and many tracked coins fell over the same 24-hour window. Reports of Mercado Bitcoin’s security breach and paused withdrawals appeared at 16:46, 19:05 and 20:19 UTC and may have weighed on market sentiment, but do not show a direct link to ZEC. Evidence gap: The beta-adjusted Bitcoin move accounts for only part of ZEC’s decline, and the reports do not establish that the breach caused a market-wide selloff or when its effects began. Sources: [S5](), [S10](), [S11](), [S12]() Open question: The timing and cause of the initial spike and subsequent fall are not established, and the breach’s market impact is unclear. Analysis generated: 2026-11-02T21:23:11.000Z; evidence window: 2026-11-01T21:22:57.000Z → 2026-11-02T21:22:57.000Z. - Day open / close: $1,235.00 → $1,135.78 (24 hourly candles, OKX · USDT) - Day range: $1,127.68 – $1,284.57 - 对比近一个月: 过去 29 天中有 2 天跌幅更大; 截至 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时 -7.99%，为平常单日 (3.1%) 的 2.6×。 - 30 天价格区间: 距高点 -18.8% · 高于低点 +8.3%; 基于同一交易所小时线高低点 - 24h 成交额倍数: 1.3×; 对比前 30 天日均成交额 - 永续合约状态: 资金费率 为正 · 持仓量 持平; OKX 永续合约 ZEC-USDT-SWAP 基于 OKX · USDT 截至 2026-11-03 00:00 UTC 的 24 小时整点 K 线计算。 ## 2026-11-02 前后 ZEC 时间线 最大单小时收盘波动：-4.43%，2026-11-02 17:00–18:00 (UTC)。 ## 历史上发生过几次？ 自 2017-10-12 以来，按 Gate · USDT 日收盘价计，ZEC 单日下跌 7% 或以上共 166 次（7 天内的连续波动只计一次）。 7 天后上涨的有 78/166 次，中位变动 -1.42%。这是历史统计，不是预测。 | After the move | Cases | Higher | Median change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 次日 | 166 | 106 | +1.46% | | 7 天后 | 166 | 78 | -1.42% | | 30 天后 | 164 | 66 | -6.61% | Episodes: 2026-10-22, 2026-10-08, 2026-10-01, 2026-09-23, 2026-09-07, 2026-08-25, 2026-07-13, 2026-06-21, 2026-06-04, 2026-05-22 (UTC) 单一交易所日收盘价，未计成本；仅为该币自身的存续历史，无法代表已退市币种。历史不代表未来。 Prices, market readings and reports are shown side by side; timing alone does not show what caused a move. ## 2026-11-02 同日异动币种（UTC） - [Akedo (AKE) -40.85%]() - [Aria.AI (ARIA) +38.56%]() - [Holo (HOT) +17.94%]() - [Rain (RAIN) +11.59%]() - [Lisk (LSK) -11.36%]() [大零币 Zcash (ZEC) price and news]() [Methods and limitations]()