---
title: "Binance Hack: Why Bitcoin Didn't Crash Like It Did in 2018"
description: "Decrypt 于 2026-10-30 报道。 Decrypt: “Binance lost about $6.4 billion, the largest crypto hack on record, yet Bitcoin fell about 3%, against nearly 11% in 2018…"
language: zh
canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/bitcoin-binance-hack-why-bitcoin-didn-be62b0485a1f1a"
published: 2026-10-30T18:46:58.000Z
updated: 2026-10-30T19:48:01.000Z
indexable: false
---

# Binance Hack: Why Bitcoin Didn't Crash Like It Did in 2018

Decrypt 于 2026-10-30 报道。 Decrypt: “Binance lost about $6.4 billion, the largest crypto hack on record, yet Bitcoin fell about 3%, against nearly 11% in 2018…

Attributed sources: [Decrypt](<https://decrypt.co/382257/binance-hack-why-bitcoin-didnt-crash>)

## Key facts

Decrypt: “Binance lost about $6.4 billion, the largest crypto hack on record, yet Bitcoin fell about 3%, against nearly 11% in 2018 when the exchange was last attacked.” 站点捕获后 1 小时内观测到 BTC +0.13%。市场观测不构成因果证明。
Evidence strength: 单一信源, 1 publisher group(s) (Decrypt).
站点捕获后的观测收益率：5 分钟: -0.13% (2026-10-30 18:46 → 2026-10-30 18:51, UTC; Gate · USDT)；1 小时: +0.13% (2026-10-30 18:46 → 2026-10-30 19:46, UTC; Gate · USDT)。
前 30 天小时级绝对收益率的 99% 分位数为 1.23%（OKX · USDT；截止 2026-10-30 18:46, UTC）。

## Returns after site detection

| Window | Return | BTC | Difference from BTC | Actual sampled interval (UTC) | Source |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 分钟 | -0.13% | -0.13% | 0.00 个百分点 | 2026-10-30 18:46 → 2026-10-30 18:51 | Gate · USDT |
| 1 小时 | +0.13% | +0.13% | 0.00 个百分点 | 2026-10-30 18:46 → 2026-10-30 19:46 | Gate · USDT |

## Historical hourly baseline

| Metric | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Coverage | 100.0% (720/720) |
| Median absolute hourly return | 0.14% |
| 99th percentile of absolute hourly returns | 1.23% |
| BTC beta | 1.00 |
| Source / cutoff (UTC) | OKX · USDT / 2026-10-30 18:46 |

## Claims and open questions

- No independently verified causal explanation is available.

## Source evidence

- [Binance Hack: Why Bitcoin Didn't Crash Like It Did in 2018](<https://decrypt.co/382257/binance-hack-why-bitcoin-didnt-crash>) — Decrypt; published 2026-10-30 18:45; received 2026-10-30 18:46 (UTC).


## Recent BTC events and market reactions

暂无其他已达标的 BTC 事件。

- [Full coin archive](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/bitcoin>)

## 相关研究

- [Crypto hacks and price impact: Bybit and Cetus case studies](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/crypto-security-exploits-and-evidence-evolution.md>)
- [Why is crypto moving? How to check the evidence behind a price explanation](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/how-to-check-why-crypto-is-moving.md>)
- [Altcoin beta to Bitcoin: BTC, ETH, SOL and DOGE hourly returns](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/hourly-returns-and-bitcoin-beta.md>)
- [Will Bitcoin go back up? Every crash since 2011 and its recovery time](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/bitcoin-crash-recovery-time.md>)

证据等级描述信源覆盖范围，不代表报道为真的概率。价格变动及其时间先后不能证明原因；分钟采样仅反映观测区间，异动阈值为经验设定。解读由模型辅助生成，引用与数字经过核对。信源标题保留原文语言，不转载全文。 [Methods and limitations](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/methodology>)