---
title: "Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, Midterms"
description: "Decrypt, Bitcoin Magazine 于 2026-10-26 报道。检测后 1 小时内 BTC -0.72%。 Decrypt: “Analysts point to a sell-off in AI stocks and ETF outflows, with HashKey's Tim Sun flagging $75,000 as the next key support level.” 站点捕获后 1 小时内观测到 BTC -0.72%。市场观测不构成因果证明。"
language: zh
canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/bitcoin-bitcoin-dips-below-80-000-1fd72aeceddfb3"
published: 2026-10-26T13:05:01.000Z
updated: 2026-10-26T17:53:01.000Z
indexable: false
---

# Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, Midterms

Decrypt, Bitcoin Magazine 于 2026-10-26 报道。检测后 1 小时内 BTC -0.72%。 Decrypt: “Analysts point to a sell-off in AI stocks and ETF outflows, with HashKey's Tim Sun flagging $75,000 as the next key support level.” 站点捕获后 1 小时内观测到 BTC -0.72%。市场观测不构成因果证明。

Attributed sources: [Decrypt](<https://decrypt.co/381802/bitcoin-dips-below-80000-ahead-of-fed-decision-midterms>), [Bitcoin Magazine](<https://bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/bitcoin-price-hovers-around-80000>)

## Key facts

Decrypt: “Analysts point to a sell-off in AI stocks and ETF outflows, with HashKey's Tim Sun flagging $75,000 as the next key support level.” 站点捕获后 1 小时内观测到 BTC -0.72%。市场观测不构成因果证明。
Evidence strength: 多方报道, 2 publisher group(s) (Decrypt, Bitcoin Magazine).
站点捕获后的观测收益率：5 分钟: -0.07% (26/10/2026, 13:05 → 26/10/2026, 13:10, UTC; Gate · USDT)；1 小时: -0.72% (26/10/2026, 13:05 → 26/10/2026, 14:05, UTC; Gate · USDT)。
前 30 天小时级绝对收益率的 99% 分位数为 1.01%（OKX · USDT；截止 26/10/2026, 13:05, UTC）。

## Returns after site detection

| Window | Return | BTC | Difference from BTC | Actual sampled interval (UTC) | Source |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 分钟 | -0.07% | -0.07% | 0.00 个百分点 | 26/10/2026, 13:05 → 26/10/2026, 13:10 | Gate · USDT |
| 1 小时 | -0.72% | -0.72% | 0.00 个百分点 | 26/10/2026, 13:05 → 26/10/2026, 14:05 | Gate · USDT |

## Historical hourly baseline

| Metric | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Coverage | 100.0% (720/720) |
| Median absolute hourly return | 0.14% |
| 99th percentile of absolute hourly returns | 1.01% |
| BTC beta | 1.00 |
| Source / cutoff (UTC) | OKX · USDT / 26/10/2026, 13:05 |

## Claims and open questions

- No independently verified causal explanation is available.

## Source evidence

- [Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, Midterms](<https://decrypt.co/381802/bitcoin-dips-below-80000-ahead-of-fed-decision-midterms>) — Decrypt; published 26/10/2026, 13:02; received 26/10/2026, 13:05 (UTC).
- [Bitcoin Price Hovers Near $80,000 as Traders Await Fed Decision](<https://bitcoinmagazine.com/markets/bitcoin-price-hovers-around-80000>) — Bitcoin Magazine; published 26/10/2026, 17:43; received 26/10/2026, 17:47 (UTC).


## Recent BTC events and market reactions

暂无其他已达标的 BTC 事件。

- [Full coin archive](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/bitcoin>)

## 其他币种的近期行情异动事件

- [HYPE: HYPE 为什么在 10月26日 1 分钟内上涨 1.17%？](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/hyperliquid-move-1793036100>)
- [QTC: QTC 为什么在 10月26日 5 分钟内下跌 12.87%？](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/quantus-move-1793033580>)
- [QTC: QTC 为什么在 10月26日 1 分钟内下跌 6.52%？](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/quantus-move-1793027700>)
- [行情异动](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/topics/market>)

## 相关研究

- [Altcoin beta to Bitcoin: BTC, ETH, SOL and DOGE hourly returns](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/hourly-returns-and-bitcoin-beta.md>)
- [Will Bitcoin go back up? Every crash since 2011 and its recovery time](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/bitcoin-crash-recovery-time.md>)
- [Perpetual funding rates and annualized yield: a 2025 comparison](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/funding-rates-versus-investor-returns.md>)
- [Bitcoin halving and bull markets: evidence from four halvings](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/bitcoin-halving-and-market-cycles.md>)

证据等级描述信源覆盖范围，不代表报道为真的概率。价格变动及其时间先后不能证明原因；分钟采样仅反映观测区间，异动阈值为经验设定。解读由模型辅助生成，引用与数字经过核对。信源标题保留原文语言，不转载全文。 [Methods and limitations](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/methodology>)