---
title: "Fed’s hawkish rate hold keeps pressure on Bitcoin: Analysts"
description: "Cointelegraph 于 2026-10-29 报道。 Cointelegraph: “Traders are pricing in a 78% chance of a December rate hike, while analysts say Treasury yields, the US dollar…"
language: zh
canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/bitcoin-bitcoin-faces-fresh-pressure-after-53734ddc88f743"
published: 2026-10-29T01:21:58.000Z
updated: 2026-10-29T02:22:02.000Z
indexable: false
---

# Fed’s hawkish rate hold keeps pressure on Bitcoin: Analysts

Cointelegraph 于 2026-10-29 报道。 Cointelegraph: “Traders are pricing in a 78% chance of a December rate hike, while analysts say Treasury yields, the US dollar…

Attributed sources: [Cointelegraph](<https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-faces-fresh-pressure-after-feds-hawkish-rate-hold-analysts>)

## Key facts

Cointelegraph: “Traders are pricing in a 78% chance of a December rate hike, while analysts say Treasury yields, the US dollar and upcoming inflation data could determine Bitcoin’s next move.” 站点捕获后 1 小时内观测到 BTC -1.09%。市场观测不构成因果证明。
Evidence strength: 单一信源, 1 publisher group(s) (Cointelegraph).
站点捕获后的观测收益率：5 分钟: +0.02% (2026-10-29 01:21 → 2026-10-29 01:26, UTC; Gate · USDT)；1 小时: -1.09% (2026-10-29 01:21 → 2026-10-29 02:21, UTC; Gate · USDT)。
前 30 天小时级绝对收益率的 99% 分位数为 1.01%（OKX · USDT；截止 2026-10-29 01:21, UTC）。

## Returns after site detection

| Window | Return | BTC | Difference from BTC | Actual sampled interval (UTC) | Source |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 分钟 | +0.02% | +0.02% | 0.00 个百分点 | 2026-10-29 01:21 → 2026-10-29 01:26 | Gate · USDT |
| 1 小时 | -1.09% | -1.09% | 0.00 个百分点 | 2026-10-29 01:21 → 2026-10-29 02:21 | Gate · USDT |

## Historical hourly baseline

| Metric | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Coverage | 100.0% (720/720) |
| Median absolute hourly return | 0.14% |
| 99th percentile of absolute hourly returns | 1.01% |
| BTC beta | 1.00 |
| Source / cutoff (UTC) | OKX · USDT / 2026-10-29 01:21 |

## Claims and open questions

- No independently verified causal explanation is available.

## Source evidence

- [Fed’s hawkish rate hold keeps pressure on Bitcoin: Analysts](<https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-faces-fresh-pressure-after-feds-hawkish-rate-hold-analysts>) — Cointelegraph; published 2026-10-29 01:12; received 2026-10-29 01:21 (UTC).


## Recent BTC events and market reactions

暂无其他已达标的 BTC 事件。

- [Full coin archive](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/bitcoin>)

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证据等级描述信源覆盖范围，不代表报道为真的概率。价格变动及其时间先后不能证明原因；分钟采样仅反映观测区间，异动阈值为经验设定。解读由模型辅助生成，引用与数字经过核对。信源标题保留原文语言，不转载全文。 [Methods and limitations](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/methodology>)