---
title: "Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports"
description: "CoinDesk 于 2026-10-23 报道。检测后 24 小时内 BTC -1.60%。 CoinDesk: “The company's head of futures and prediction markets said bitcoin, gold and oil contracts are among its fastest-growing prediction markets.” 站点捕获后 24 小时内观测到 BTC -1.60%。市场观测不构成因果证明。"
language: zh
canonical: "https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/bitcoin-robinhood-sees-surge-bitcoin-gold-0f4d8232a016e1"
published: 2026-10-23T14:01:44.000Z
updated: 2026-10-24T14:02:02.000Z
indexable: false
---

# Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports

CoinDesk 于 2026-10-23 报道。检测后 24 小时内 BTC -1.60%。 CoinDesk: “The company's head of futures and prediction markets said bitcoin, gold and oil contracts are among its fastest-growing prediction markets.” 站点捕获后 24 小时内观测到 BTC -1.60%。市场观测不构成因果证明。

Attributed sources: [CoinDesk](<https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/10/23/robinhood-sees-surge-in-bitcoin-gold-prediction-markets-as-traders-move-beyond-sports>)

## Key facts

CoinDesk: “The company's head of futures and prediction markets said bitcoin, gold and oil contracts are among its fastest-growing prediction markets.” 站点捕获后 24 小时内观测到 BTC -1.60%。市场观测不构成因果证明。
Evidence strength: 单一信源, 1 publisher group(s) (CoinDesk); this describes source coverage, not truth or causation.
站点捕获后的观测收益率：5 分钟: -0.15% (23/10/2026, 14:01 → 23/10/2026, 14:07, UTC; Gate · USDT)；1 小时: -0.53% (23/10/2026, 14:01 → 23/10/2026, 15:03, UTC; Gate · USDT)；24 小时: -1.60% (23/10/2026, 14:01 → 24/10/2026, 14:01, UTC; Gate · USDT)。未列出的时间窗口暂无可用样本。
前 30 天小时级绝对收益率的 99% 分位数为 1.02%（OKX · USDT；截止 23/10/2026, 14:01, UTC）。小时级基准不可直接与分钟级异动比较。

## Returns after site detection

| Window | Return | BTC | Difference from BTC | Actual sampled interval (UTC) | Source |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 分钟 | -0.15% | -0.15% | 0.00 个百分点 | 23/10/2026, 14:01 → 23/10/2026, 14:07 | Gate · USDT |
| 1 小时 | -0.53% | -0.53% | 0.00 个百分点 | 23/10/2026, 14:01 → 23/10/2026, 15:03 | Gate · USDT |
| 24 小时 | -1.60% | -1.60% | 0.00 个百分点 | 23/10/2026, 14:01 → 24/10/2026, 14:01 | Gate · USDT |

## Historical hourly baseline

| Metric | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Ready | true |
| Coverage | 100.0% (720/720) |
| Median absolute hourly return | 0.14% |
| 99th percentile of absolute hourly returns | 1.02% |
| BTC beta | 1.00 |
| Source / cutoff (UTC) | OKX · USDT / 23/10/2026, 14:01 |

## Claims and open questions

- No independently verified causal explanation is available.

## Source evidence

- [Robinhood sees surge in bitcoin, gold prediction markets as traders move beyond sports](<https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/10/23/robinhood-sees-surge-in-bitcoin-gold-prediction-markets-as-traders-move-beyond-sports>) — CoinDesk; published 23/10/2026, 13:58; received 23/10/2026, 14:01 (UTC).


## Recent BTC events and market reactions

暂无其他已达标的 BTC 事件。

- [Full coin archive](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/coins/bitcoin>)

## 其他币种的近期行情异动事件

- [PEARL: PEARL 为什么在 1 分钟内上涨 3.01%？信源与行情核查 · 2026-10-25](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/pearl-2-move-1792937520>)
- [IRYS: IRYS 为什么在 5 分钟内下跌 4.29%？信源与行情核查 · 2026-10-25](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/irys-move-1792937340>)
- [IRYS: IRYS 为什么在 1 分钟内上涨 2.65%？信源与行情核查 · 2026-10-25](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/events/irys-move-1792934100>)
- [行情异动](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/topics/market>)

## 相关研究

- [Altcoin beta to Bitcoin: BTC, ETH, SOL and DOGE hourly returns](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/hourly-returns-and-bitcoin-beta.md>)
- [Will Bitcoin go back up? Every crash since 2011 and its recovery time](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/bitcoin-crash-recovery-time.md>)
- [Perpetual funding rates and annualized yield: a 2025 comparison](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/funding-rates-versus-investor-returns.md>)
- [Bitcoin halving and bull markets: evidence from four halvings](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/research/bitcoin-halving-and-market-cycles.md>)

[Methods and limitations](<https://whycoinmoves.com/zh/methodology>)
Publisher count is not independent evidence count. Price changes cannot verify news or prove causation.