WhyCoinMovesApply

Public monthly data tool

Two-strategy comparison

Cycle Rhythm vs Event Repricing: monthly returns, complementary months and month-end drawdowns on fixed capital.

Cycle Rhythm vs Event Repricing

Shared available sample: 24 months, 2024-11–2026-10. Missing observations are excluded, never filled with zero.

Monthly correlation
−0.25

Requires 12 paired months and non-zero variance

Both positive
11

Shared months

Opposite return signs
4

One positive, one negative

Zero-return months A / B
8 / 1

Zero return does not establish an empty position

Maximum month-end drawdown: Cycle Rhythm −3.12%; Event Repricing −0.57%. Both below a prior peak: 1 months. Only Cycle Rhythm below peak: 7; only Event Repricing: 0.

Complementary monthly returns do not establish a trading hedge or future diversification. Drawdowns use the arithmetic cumulative returns of the shared sample; gaps omit unknown returns. Month-end data hide intra-month losses. Backtest and mixed months are included and labelled; a short sample is uncertain. Metric definitions.

Cycle Rhythm vs Event Repricing, 2024-11–2026-10; monthly returns and month-end drawdowns (%), fixed capital, non-compounded. Difference A minus B is percentage points.
MonthCycle Rhythm (%)Source AEvent Repricing (%)Source BA − B (pp)Drawdown A (%)Drawdown B (%)
2024-11−0.11%backtest+6.73%backtest-6.84−0.11%0.00%
2024-120.00%backtest+24.40%backtest-24.40−0.11%0.00%
2025-01+1.28%backtest+38.59%backtest-37.310.00%0.00%
2025-02+18.34%backtest+6.89%backtest11.440.00%0.00%
2025-030.00%backtest+41.54%backtest-41.540.00%0.00%
2025-04+0.44%backtest+7.87%backtest-7.430.00%0.00%
2025-05+1.33%backtest+21.74%backtest-20.420.00%0.00%
2025-060.00%backtest+15.36%backtest-15.360.00%0.00%
2025-07+7.10%backtest+7.89%backtest-0.800.00%0.00%
2025-08+6.28%backtest0.00%backtest6.280.00%0.00%
2025-090.00%backtest+12.69%backtest-12.690.00%0.00%
2025-10−3.12%backtest+73.06%backtest-76.18−3.12%0.00%
2025-11+1.16%backtest+44.50%backtest-43.34−1.96%0.00%
2025-120.00%backtest+2.24%backtest-2.24−1.96%0.00%
2026-01+6.05%backtest+33.79%backtest-27.740.00%0.00%
2026-02−1.01%backtest+1.10%backtest-2.12−1.01%0.00%
2026-030.00%backtest−0.57%backtest0.57−1.01%−0.57%
2026-04+2.06%backtest+21.78%backtest-19.730.00%0.00%
2026-05+0.20%backtest+14.10%backtest-13.900.00%0.00%
2026-060.00%backtest+13.02%backtest-13.020.00%0.00%
2026-07+3.47%backtest+10.65%backtest-7.180.00%0.00%
2026-08+1.92%backtest+23.10%backtest-21.180.00%0.00%
2026-090.00%mixed+24.38%mixed-24.380.00%0.00%
2026-10−0.46%live+8.07%live-8.53−0.46%0.00%

Cycle Rhythm full record · Event Repricing full record · Apply for Cycle Rhythm · Apply for Event Repricing