Why did PHA move -1.23% in 1 minute? Evidence check · 2026-10-20
PHA changed -1.23% over a 1-minute sampled interval on OKX · USDT. Cause unresolved; nearby reports do not establish causation.
A price move is an observation, not evidence for any report.
Price moved beyond its alert threshold
Fresh price alert
Three separate rule-based signals. None is the probability that the report is true. How they work ↗
Key facts
Nearby report sources (context, not confirmed causes):
PHA changed -1.23% in 1 minute (20/10/2026, 17:22 to 20/10/2026, 17:23, UTC+8; OKX · USDT). The cause remains unresolved.
No complete post-detection return window is available yet.
The unusual move
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 1 minute return | -1.23% |
| BTC over the same interval | -0.01% |
| Difference from BTC | -1.22 pp |
| Detection threshold | 0.73% |
| Actual interval (UTC+8) | 20/10/2026, 17:22 → 20/10/2026, 17:23 |
| Sampled prices / source | 0.06007 → 0.05933 · OKX · USDT |
Minute samples show an observed interval, not the exact onset of a move. These heuristic thresholds are not calibrated probabilities. No minute-volume claim is made.
What might explain it?
No sufficiently supported cause has been established. Nearby reports are context, not confirmed causes.
Data is published immediately. English and Chinese narratives are written together and subject to the daily budget.
Nearby reports and timing
No matching reports in the monitored sources and time window. Coverage is incomplete.
Source evidence
No source claim linked yet. Market observations are recorded separately.
Original source titles remain in their source language. Full articles are not republished.
Market reaction after detection
Returns start at the sample closest to site detection (within the same minute up to 10 minutes later), using the same data source and quote currency. Actual sample times are shown; missing observations remain blank.
| Window | Return | BTC | Difference from BTC (pp) | Actual sampled interval / source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minutes | — | — | — | Awaiting a complete valid window |
| 1 hour | — | — | — | Awaiting a complete valid window |
| 24 hours | — | — | — | Awaiting a complete valid window |
Historical market context
Closed hourly candles from the 30 days before this event observation. Different venues are kept separate.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Hourly coverage | 100.0% (720/720) |
| Median absolute 1h return | 0.91% |
| 99th percentile of absolute 1h returns | 8.74% |
| Historical hourly BTC beta | 1.44 (719 matched returns) |
OKX · USDT · Context as of 20/10/2026, 17:23 · Last included candle closed 20/10/2026, 17:00
Hourly descriptive statistics, not minute-move probabilities. Backfilled history never moves the observation cutoff above.
Event timeline
Source publication, receipt and analysis times are separate. All times UTC+8.
Price window begins
Price threshold observed
Event first detected by this site
Unusual-move data flash published
Latest content update
Recent PHA events and market reactions
No other publication-ready PHA events yet.
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