QTCはなぜ5分で14.86%上昇したのか?根拠・市場データ検証 · 2026-10-23
QTCはGate · USDTの5分観測区間で+14.86%変動しました。原因は未確定であり、周辺の報道は因果関係を証明しません。
価格変動は市場の観測結果であり、報道の裏付けではありません。
価格がアラート閾値を突破
直近の価格急変動ニュース
3つの独立したルールベース指標であり、報道の真偽確率ではありません。 仕組みを見る →
Key facts
Nearby report sources (context, not confirmed causes): No matching source available
QTCは5分間で+14.86%変動しました(23/10/2026, 04:48〜23/10/2026, 04:53, UTC; Gate · USDT)。原因は未確定です。
QTC 検知後の価格反応
- 5分—Awaiting a valid sample
- 1時間—Awaiting a valid sample
- 24時間—Window not complete
The unusual move
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 5 minute return | +14.86% |
| BTC over the same interval | +0.01% |
| Difference from BTC | +14.86 pt |
| Detection threshold | 4.00% |
| Actual interval (UTC) | 23/10/2026, 04:48 → 23/10/2026, 04:53 |
| Sampled prices / source | 0.000762 → 0.000876 · Gate · USDT |
Minute samples show an observed interval, not the exact onset of a move. These heuristic thresholds are not calibrated probabilities. No minute-volume claim is made.
What might explain it?
No sufficiently supported cause has been established. Nearby reports are context, not confirmed causes.
No nearby reports were available to explain this move, so no written explanation was generated. Market data remains available.
Nearby reports and timing
Research: announcement timestamps and causality →
No matching reports in the monitored sources and time window. Coverage is incomplete.
Source evidence · no linked reports
No source claim linked yet. Market observations are recorded separately.
Original source titles remain in their source language. Full articles are not republished.
Market reaction after detection
Returns start at the sample closest to site detection (within the same minute up to 10 minutes later), using the same data source and quote currency. Actual sample times are shown; missing observations remain blank.
| Window | Return | BTC | Difference from BTC (pp) | Actual sampled interval / source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5分 | — | — | — | Window ended; awaiting a valid same-source sample |
| 1時間 | — | — | — | Window ended; awaiting a valid same-source sample |
| 24時間 | — | — | — | Awaiting a complete valid window |
Historical market context
Research: hourly returns and BTC beta →
Closed hourly candles from the 30 days before this event observation. Different venues are kept separate.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Hourly coverage | 100.0% (720/720) |
| Median absolute 1h return | 0.48% |
| 99th percentile of absolute 1h returns | 26.89% |
| Historical hourly BTC beta | -0.57 (719 matched returns) |
Gate · USDT · Context as of 23/10/2026, 04:53 · Last included candle closed 23/10/2026, 04:00
Hourly descriptive statistics, not minute-move probabilities. Backfilled history never moves the observation cutoff above.
Event timeline
Source publication, receipt and analysis times are separate. All times UTC.
Price window begins
Price threshold observed
Event first detected by this site
Unusual-move data flash published
Latest content update
Recent QTC events and market reactions
- QTCはなぜ1分で2.26%下落したのか?根拠・市場データ検証 · 2026-10-21 [原因未確定 · 受信 21/10/2026, 22:21 (UTC) · 原因未確定 · 価格急変動 · 5m 0.00% / 1h +0.24% / 24h -10.37%]
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