WhyCoinMovesApply

Public monthly data tool

Two-strategy comparison

Seasonal Strength vs Event Repricing: monthly returns, complementary months and month-end drawdowns on fixed capital.

Seasonal Strength vs Event Repricing

Shared available sample: 24 months, 2024-11–2026-10. Missing observations are excluded, never filled with zero.

Monthly correlation
0.01

Requires 12 paired months and non-zero variance

Both positive
16

Shared months

Opposite return signs
7

One positive, one negative

Zero-return months A / B
0 / 1

Zero return does not establish an empty position

Maximum month-end drawdown: Seasonal Strength −13.76%; Event Repricing −0.57%. Both below a prior peak: 0 months. Only Seasonal Strength below peak: 10; only Event Repricing: 1.

Complementary monthly returns do not establish a trading hedge or future diversification. Drawdowns use the arithmetic cumulative returns of the shared sample; gaps omit unknown returns. Month-end data hide intra-month losses. Backtest and mixed months are included and labelled; a short sample is uncertain. Metric definitions.

Seasonal Strength vs Event Repricing, 2024-11–2026-10; monthly returns and month-end drawdowns (%), fixed capital, non-compounded. Difference A minus B is percentage points.
MonthSeasonal Strength (%)Source AEvent Repricing (%)Source BA − B (pp)Drawdown A (%)Drawdown B (%)
2024-11+33.29%backtest+6.73%backtest26.560.00%0.00%
2024-12+4.00%backtest+24.40%backtest-20.400.00%0.00%
2025-01−5.81%backtest+38.59%backtest-44.40−5.81%0.00%
2025-02−7.95%backtest+6.89%backtest-14.84−13.76%0.00%
2025-03+1.88%backtest+41.54%backtest-39.65−11.87%0.00%
2025-04+9.30%backtest+7.87%backtest1.43−2.58%0.00%
2025-05−0.45%backtest+21.74%backtest-22.19−3.03%0.00%
2025-06+0.93%backtest+15.36%backtest-14.43−2.10%0.00%
2025-07+0.52%backtest+7.89%backtest-7.38−1.58%0.00%
2025-08+34.78%backtest0.00%backtest34.780.00%0.00%
2025-09+7.16%backtest+12.69%backtest-5.520.00%0.00%
2025-10+26.36%backtest+73.06%backtest-46.700.00%0.00%
2025-11+2.49%backtest+44.50%backtest-42.010.00%0.00%
2025-12+7.34%backtest+2.24%backtest5.110.00%0.00%
2026-01+3.54%backtest+33.79%backtest-30.250.00%0.00%
2026-02+10.04%backtest+1.10%backtest8.940.00%0.00%
2026-03+7.30%backtest−0.57%backtest7.870.00%−0.57%
2026-04−1.21%backtest+21.78%backtest-22.99−1.21%0.00%
2026-05−0.34%backtest+14.10%backtest-14.44−1.54%0.00%
2026-06+5.18%backtest+13.02%backtest-7.840.00%0.00%
2026-07+2.16%backtest+10.65%backtest-8.480.00%0.00%
2026-08+34.76%backtest+23.10%backtest11.670.00%0.00%
2026-09+3.98%mixed+24.38%mixed-20.400.00%0.00%
2026-10−1.59%live+8.07%live-9.66−1.59%0.00%

Seasonal Strength full record · Event Repricing full record · Apply for Seasonal Strength · Apply for Event Repricing