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Galaxy's Alex Thorn says Bitcoin's bottom is in after 50-week average reclaim

Galaxy researcher Alex Thorn said in a research note that "we believe the bottom is in," arguing that Bitcoin regaining its 50-week moving average after more than 20 weeks below it has never been followed by a new low, Bitcoin Magazine reported. Thorn also pointed to resilience around $80K and said being long Bitcoin is now contrarian.

Key facts

1 sourceMajor storyNew

BTC after this site detected it

  • 5 minutes-0.01%Gate · USDT
  • 1 hour-0.67%Gate · USDT
Source published First received Updated UTC

Claims and open questions

Evidence strength Single source

Only one publisher so far. Another independent outlet or an official source would raise it.

ImportanceMajor story

core coin BTC · afterwards moved 4.6× its usual range against BTC

What sources claim

  • Galaxy's Alex Thorn said the firm believes Bitcoin's bottom is in, citing the reclaim of the 50-week moving average after more than 20 weeks below it, a setup he says has never been followed by a new low, per Bitcoin Magazine.
  • Thorn pointed to Bitcoin's resilience around $80K and argued that being long Bitcoin is now a contrarian position, Bitcoin Magazine reported.
  • Thorn described light positioning, saying "the crowd is not here," according to Bitcoin Magazine.

Still unresolved

  • What specific price level or timeframe Thorn uses to define a confirmed bottom, and what would invalidate the call, is stated in Galaxy's full research note; its publication would clarify the threshold.

Evidence levels describe source coverage, not the probability that a report is true. Price moves and their timing cannot establish a cause; minute samples show an observed interval and alert thresholds are heuristics. Explanations are model-assisted, with citations and figures checked. Source titles stay in their original language; full articles are not republished.

Source evidence

1
Bitcoin MagazineNews publisher
Alex Thorn: 50-Week Signal Says Bitcoin’s Bottom is In ↗

Published Oct 30, 2026, 13:22 · Received Oct 30, 2026, 13:24

Market reaction after detection

Measured from the sample nearest site detection, on the same source and quote currency.

Observed returns after site detection
WindowReturnActual sampled interval / source
5 minutes-0.01%Oct 30, 2026, 13:24 → Oct 30, 2026, 13:29 (UTC)
Gate · USDT
1 hour-0.67%Oct 30, 2026, 13:24 → Oct 30, 2026, 14:24 (UTC)
Gate · USDT

Timing does not establish causation. Methods and limitations →

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