Bitwise lifts 2036 bitcoin price target to about $1.6 million

What sources claim

• Bitwise raised its 2036 base-case bitcoin target to $1,599,766 from $1.3 million, implying a 34.3% compound annual growth rate from about $83,557, Bitcoin Magazine reported.
• Bitwise's bear case is $130,686 and its bull case is $3.67 million, according to Bitcoin Magazine.
• Bitwise estimates institutions controlling about $147 trillion could allocate 1% to 5% to bitcoin, or $1.5 trillion to $7.4 trillion of purchases, and says the network issues about $14 billion in new coins per year, Bitcoin Magazine reported.

Still unresolved

• What assumptions underpin Bitwise's bear and bull scenarios, such as institutional allocation levels or volatility inputs, would require the full report to confirm.
• How much of the projected institutional demand depends on the Federal Reserve capital proposal easing bank custody rules, which would need an adopted rule to confirm.

Evidence levels describe source coverage, not the probability that a report is true. Price moves and their timing cannot establish a cause; minute samples show an observed interval and alert thresholds are heuristics. Explanations are model-assisted, with citations and figures checked. Source titles stay in their original language; full articles are not republished.

Measured from the sample nearest site detection, on the same source and quote currency.