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Contrarian

Contrarian crypto strategies

Studies potential reversals following unusually one-sided market behaviour. Compare 24-month fixed-capital returns, drawdowns and Bitcoin correlation across 1 systematic contrarian strategy.

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Contrarian strategies

Median Sharpe
1.65

Bitcoin: 0.32

Median corr. to BTC
−0.21

Monthly, last 24 months

Related research
7

Empirical studies

Contrarian strategy comparison

Click a column to sort. Returns are sums of monthly returns on fixed capital; Bitcoin compounds.

Contrarian strategy return leaderboard, 2024-11–2026-10; trailing periods up to 24 months. Strategy returns use fixed capital, non-compounded; Bitcoin compounds. Returns and month-end drawdowns are percentages.
Strategy24M trend1M3M12M24MSharpeMax DDCorr. BTC
Stress ReversionContrarian 0.0%0.0%+6.4%+66.0% 1.650.0%−0.21
BitcoinBuy and hold benchmark−7.2%+23.3%−29.2%+10.2%0.32−49.3%1.00

Monthly returns

Each bar is one month. Live Backtest

Research on contrarian markets

Studies of the same market area. They describe the market, not individual strategy rules.

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Rules, position sizing and execution notes are shared with approved subscribers.

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